Biography

I joined the Climatic Research Unit in 1982, where I am now a Senior Researcher as well as the Unit’s Research and Administration Manager. My current research interests focus on the development and use of regional climate change projections, particularly with respect to extreme events and the representation of uncertainty. Thus I work at the interface between climate modellers and users of climate information – where communication, particularly with decision makers and policy makers (as well as researchers modelling the impacts of climate change), is increasingly important. I also have a longstanding interest in Mediterranean climate.

My earlier practical experience of investigating past climate change and variability and links with atmospheric circulation, as well as statistical downscaling from the coarser global climate model scale to the higher spatial scales relevant for users, provides a valuable context for many of my ongoing research projects and activities.  These focus on the use of regional climate information in impacts, adaptation and vulnerability assessments for a number of different sectors including health, agriculture, tourism, renewable energy, and the built environment and infrastructure.  I have co-ordinated and worked on many major UK and European climate change projects, together with projects focused on South America and the Caribbean.

Having worked on climate change scenarios and with users of these scenarios over a couple of decades, I am well placed to play a leading role in the current development of climate services, for example through the Global Framework for Climate Services.  Since October 2012, I am a Co-Chair of the World Climate Research Programme's new Working Group on Regional Climate whose responsibilities include overseeing the CORDEX international initiative on regional downscaling.  I am a lead author for the IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX - published in 2012) and a contributing author for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report from Working Group 1 (Chapter 9 on model evaluation).  While my main focus is research, I contribute to teaching on the climate change masters course and am principal and co-supervisor of a number of PhD students.

Academic Background

  • From 2004 (30% of full-time appointment): Research and administration manager, Climatic Research Unit, UEA.
  • From 1987 (70% of full-time since 2004): Senior Research Associate, Climatic Research Unit, UEA.
  • 1982 - 1987: Research Associate, Climatic Research Unit, UEA. 

Additional Contacts

Fax: +44 (0)1603 591327

 

PhD Positions

Click here for current PhD opportunities in the School of Environmental Sciences.  However, feel free to email me to discuss projects outside these areas and alternative sources of funding.

 

All Publications

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Lake, I., Jones, N., Agnew, M., Goodess, C., Giorgi, F., Hamaoui-Laguel, L., Semenov, M., Solomin, F., Storkey, J., Vautard, R., Epstein, M.

(2017)

Climate Change and Future Pollen Allergy in Europe

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Ruiz-Ramos, M., Rodríguez, A., Dosio, A., Goodess, C. M., Harpham, C., Mínguez, M. I., Sánchez, E.

(2016)

Comparing correction methods of RCM outputs for improving crop impact projections in the Iberian Peninsula for 21st century

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Jones, P. D., Harpham, C., Harris, I., Goodess, C. M., Burton, A., Centella-Artola, A., Taylor, M. A., Bezanilla-Morlot, A., Campbell, J. D., Stephenson, T. S., Joslyn, O., Nicholls, K., Baur, T.

(2016)

Long-term trends in precipitation and temperature across the Caribbean

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Jones, P. D., Harpham, C., Burton, A., Goodess, C. M.

(2016)

Downscaling regional climate model outputs for the Caribbean using a weather generator

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Ruane, A. C., Teichmann, C., Arnell, N. W., Carter, T. R., Ebi, K. L., Frieler, K., Goodess, C. M., Hewitson, B., Horton, R., Kovats, R. S., Lotze, H. K., Mearns, L. O., Navarra, A., Ojima, D. S., Riahi, K., Rosenzweig, C., Themessl, M., Vincent, K.

(2016)

The Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation and Climate Services Advisory Board (VIACS AB v1.0) contribution to CMIP6

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Jenkins, K., Hall, J., Glenis, V., Kilsby, C., Mccarthy, M., Goodess, C., Smith, D., Malleson, N., Birkin, M.

(2014)

Probabilistic spatial risk assessment of heat impacts and adaptations for London

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Goodess, C. M., Geography, Planning and Development, Management, Monitoring

(2013)

How is the frequency, location and severity of extreme events likely to change up to 2060?

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Christensen, O., Goodess, C., Ciscar, J.

(2012)

Methodological framework of the PESETA project on the impacts of climate change in Europe

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Déqué, M., Somot, S., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Goodess, C., Jacob, D., Lenderink, G., Christensen, O.

(2012)

The spread amongst ENSEMBLES regional scenarios: Regional climate models, driving general circulation models and interannual variability

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


McCarthy, M., Harpham, C., Goodess, C., Jones, P.

(2012)

Simulating climate change in UK cities using a regional climate model, HadRM3

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Seneviratne, S. I., Nicholls, N., Easterling, D., Goodess, C. M., Kanae, S., Kossin, J., Luo, Y., Marengo, J., Mc Innes, K., Rahimi, M., Reichstein, M., Sorteberg, A., Vera, C., Zhang, X., Rusticucci, M., Semenov, V., Alexander, L. V., Allen, S., Benito, G., Cavazos, T., Clague, J., Conway, D., Della-Marta, P. M., Gerber, M., Gong, S., Goswami, B. N., Hemer, M., Huggel, C., Van den Hurk, B., Kharin, V. V., Kitoh, A., Klein Tank, A. M. G., Li, G., Mason, S., Mc Guire, W., Van Oldenborgh, G. J., Orlowsky, B., Smith, S., Thiaw, W., Velegrakis, A., Yiou, P., Zhang, T., Zhou, T., Zwiers, F. W.

(2012)

Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment

Full Text UEA Repository

(Chapter)


Ciscar, J., Iglesias, A., Feyen, L., Szabo, L., Van Regemorter, D., Amelung, B., Nicholls, R., Watkiss, P., Christensen, O., Dankers, R., Garrote, L., Goodess, C., Hunt, A., Moreno, A., Richards, J., Soria, A.

(2011)

Physical and economic consequences of climate change in Europe

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Efthymiadis, D., Goodess, C., Jones, P.

(2011)

Trends in Mediterranean gridded temperature extremes and large-scale circulation influences

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Jones, P., Harpham, C., Goodess, C., Kilsby, C.

(2011)

Perturbing a Weather Generator using change factors derived from Regional Climate Model simulations

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Maraun, D., Wetterhall, F., Ireson, A., Chandler, R., Kendon, E., Widmann, M., Brienen, S., Rust, H., Sauter, J., Themel, M., Venema, V., Chun, K., Goodess, C., Jones, R., Onof, C., Vrac, M., Thiele-Eich, I.

(2010)

Precipitation downscaling under climate change: Recent developments to bridge the gap between dynamical models and the end user

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Agnew, M., Goodess, C., Jones, P., Osborn, T.

(2009)

The science of climate change - implications for risk management.

UEA Repository

(Chapter)


Giannakopoulos, C., Le Sager, P., Bindi, M., Moriondo, M., Kostopoulou, E., Goodess, C.

(2009)

Climatic changes and associated impacts in the Mediterranean resulting from a 2 °C global warming

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Goodess, C., Jacob, D., Deque, M., Guttierez, J., Huth, R., Kendon, E., Leckebusch, G., Lorenz, P., Pavan, V.

(2009)

Downscaling methods, data and tools for input to impacts assessments

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Hewitt, C., Goodess, C., Betts, R.

(2009)

Towards probabilistic projections of climate change

Full Text UEA Repository

(Article)


Mosso, C., Mestres, M., Sierra, J., Sanchez-Arcilla, A., Goodess, C.

(2009)

Waves and Surges in the Valencia Gulf. Variability Rather Than Climate Change

UEA Repository

(Article)


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Key Research Interests

Amongst many other UK activities, I have contributed to assessments of the impacts of climate change on UK health (for the Department of Health) and the insurance industry (for the Chartered Insurance Institute).  My main UK research interests lie in providing climate information and projections for use in impacts and adaptation studies on the built environment and infrastructure.  Most recently I was involved in development of a climate scenario generator for urban areas in the EPSRC ARCADIA project (Adaptation and Resilience in Cities: Analysis and Decision making using Integrated Assessment).  I was a member of the UKCP09 steering group and one of five international reviewers of these national probabilistic climate projections.

At the European level, I was the coordinator of work on the production of probabilistic regional climate projections in the ENSEMBLES FP6 integrated project (having previously co-ordinated the FP5 STARDEX project on statistical downscaling).  I was the co-ordinator of integrating (indicator-based) case-studies within the CIRCE FP6 project on impacts of climate change in the Mediterranean which ended in June 2011.  I was an external advisor on the PESETA and PESETA 2 projects and a partner in the larger follow-on ClimateCost FP7 project on estimating the full costs of European climate change, together with the newly launched ECONADAPT FP7 project on Economics of climate change adaptation in Europe.  My main role within all these projects relates to the provision of relevant and robust climate observations and projections, and helping users to understand their limitations and to use them effectively and appropriately.  I am also involved in the FP7 CLIM-RUN project on Climate Local Information in the Mediterranean region: Responding to User Needs.  My role in CLIM-RUN is the co-ordination of bottom-up case studies on identifying and meeting the user requirements for climate services.  Within the FP7 CLARIS-LPB project, I co-ordinated work on the linkages between climate modeling and impacts assessments for La Plata Basin in South America.  Another current FP7 project which is developing new ground, in this case through an interdisciplinary approach to the study of climate change and allergic disease, is Atopica.  I am also involved in the CDKN-funded CARIWIG project which is developing climate projection tools (including a modified version of the UKCP09 weather generator) for the Caribbean region.  As in a number of other projects, my role within CARIWIG focuses on the identification and translation of user needs into regional climate information products.


Publications: EPrints Digital Repository

Professional Activities

  • Co-Chair of the World Climate Research Programme's Working Group on Regional Climate 2012 to date

Key Responsibilities

  • CRU Research and Administration Manager
  • Member of the School of Environmental Sciences Equality and Diversity Committee